ISP-Myanmar just published a very valuable report, Prospective 4th-Generation Tatmadaw: Pathways to Reform or Further Regression? It offers a useful timeline and mapping of the dramatic events of November 2023-April 2024, during which the military took serious losses and armed groups made important gains, while also showing data on the stabilization and recovery since then. I further learned a lot from their mapping of the current military elite in Myanmar – who holds what positions and ranks, their ages, and who might be the next level of commanders.
This kind of “micro-level military politics” is an enduring interest of mine (i.e. this article on Pakistan I wrote with Naseemullah and Butt) but requires enormous time and detailed contextual knowledge/date that most political scientists simply don’t have. Check out the whole report.
Paul Staniland 